The 1. FC Union Berlin Files
DE
Predictions

1. FC Union Berlin

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Akte Union — Club-Dossier 1. FC Union Berlin
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
Where does Union stand in the table?
Union are 16th with 4 points after 5 matchdays. Goal difference: -12.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Union's probability come from — and what moves it?

Union vs Elversberg · Sat, 10/10, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home8.4%
Draw24%
Away67.6%

Union: 8.4%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Union home 0.0pp
Home8.4%
Draw24%
Away67.6%

Union: 8.4% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home41.4%
Draw25.1%
Away33.5%

Union: 41.4%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: -33.0pp — Pipeline model sees Union weaker than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for 1. FC Union Berlin. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 6

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 BVB 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Bayern 5 3 2 0 +12 11
4 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 +6 10
5 Leipzig 5 3 0 2 +10 9
6 Augsburg 5 2 2 1 +5 8
7 Werder 5 2 2 1 0 8
8 Eintracht 6 2 2 2 -6 8
9 Mainz 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Elversberg 5 2 1 2 0 7
11 Koeln 6 2 1 3 -3 7
12 Stuttgart 5 2 0 3 -1 6
13 HSV 5 2 0 3 -10 6
14 Schalke 04 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 -4 4
16 Union 5 1 1 3 -12 4
17 Hoffenheim 5 1 0 4 -4 3
18 Gladbach 5 0 0 5 -11 0