W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
10 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Union Berlin 1:0 Leverkusen (Matchday 23). Vertessen 72'. Sensationssieg! 28.7% Possession, aber Union eiskalt. Vertessen trifft beim einzigen echten Konter. Leverkusen-Fluch an der Alten Försterei hält an.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Union Berlin 1:0 Leverkusen — Match Statistics:
28.7%
Possession FCU
2 : 5
Shots on Target
5 : 22
Total Shots
1 : 11
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Euphoria after the coup against Leverkusen! Alte Försterei celebrates — Vertessen becomes the hero. Confidence for the Gladbach away match at maximum.
Injuries
Fixed
07:30
Knoche (back injury), Jordan (Thigh — Rückkehr Freitag possible).
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 7-7-9, 28 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: W L D D W. Torbilanz: 29:37. Heimtabelle Platz 12. — away position 8..
Transfer
Variable
07:30
Vertessen purchase option: Union is examining according to Berliner Zeitung the €8M clause for the PSV loanee. Performance speaks for a permanent deal.
Table
Fixed
07:30
Platz 9 nach Matchday 23 — securedes Mittelfeld. Europa (Platz 7) 4 points away. Relegation kein Thema. Gladbach away as a chance for position 7.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
Union AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: 8.
Gladbach HEIM 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (13 games): Union 7S 3U 3N, Goals 19:14. First Half: Union 3:1 Gladbach (Matchday 7, 17.10.2025 — Doekhi 3'/26', Khedira 81').
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
17.10.25Union 3:1 BMGSDoekhi ×2, Khedira
15.02.25Union 1:2 BMGN
28.09.24BMG 1:0 UnionN
28.04.24BMG 0:0 UnionU
03.02.24Union 2:1 BMGS
Last 5: Union 2S 1U 2N · 2× in 5 H2H auswärts bei Gladbach
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
28.7%
Possession vs Leverkusen (Win!)
1:0
Coup gegen den Titelverteidiger
5
shots vs Leverkusen (1 reichte)
1.22
Punkte/Spiel
Union Overallbilanz all competitions 25/26: 8S 8U 10N, 32:40 Goals (26 games). An der Alten Försterei: Leverkusen, Bayern und BVB geschlagen.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
Gladbach vs Union (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
Gladbach
2.52
37.8%
Unentsch.
3.25
29.3%
Union
2.90
32.9%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · Gladbach vs Union:
| Quelle | Gladbach | Unentsch. | Union | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 40¢ | 30¢ | 32¢ | $333 |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: LOW — Polymarket-Volumen $333. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: Union: No active relegation market. Mid-table season the target — Europe as a bonus.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). 4 Items planned.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 4 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
1 Item planned
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). 1 Item planned.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 2 · 10 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 7 Fixed (70%) · 2 Variable (20%) · 1 Signal (10%)
Last Match · Matchday 23
Union — Berlin Leverkusen
Leverkusen
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · An der Alten Försterei · 22.012
⚽ Vertessen 72'
Next Match · Matchday 24
LOW
Gladbach
14. · 22 Pts
5-7-11
vs
Union
9. · 28 Pts
7-7-9
🏟 Borussia-Park
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 15:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
Gladbach
40¢
Unentsch.
30¢
Union
32¢
Volume: $333
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| Union | Gladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 9. | 14. |
| Punkte | 28 | 22 |
| Bilanz | 7-7-9 | 5-7-11 |
| Goals | 29:37 | 25:37 |
| Form (5) | SNUUS | NNUNN |
| Home/Away | A: 8. | H: — |
| Frühquote | 2.52 | 2.90 |
| Wahrsch. | 37.8% | 32.9% |
| Liquidität | LOW $333 Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Knoche back injury
- Doubtful Jordan Thigh — Rückkehr Freitag possible
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Bo Svensson
"That's Union. We don't need 70% possession. We need mentality and the right moment."
Sky · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
Berliner Zeitung
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen